Lily Labs logoLily Labs

Problem 4 · Big Five

PARTIAL

Hubble tension

What's wrong (standard view): CMB 67.4 vs local 73.0. 5σ.

ISST status

Current status: PARTIAL

Structure reproduced; literal numbers open. Bare-dressed H₀ = 61.79 km/s/Mpc. Forward-pipeline outputs: 62.8 (Planck-template, 6.7% low vs 67.4) and 70.6 (SH0ES-ladder, 3.4% low vs 73). Same physics produces both ladders — the framework reproduces the tension's structure with a single H₀, but quantitative match-up is open work.

Source

Where this is documented

Paper §6, §8.3.3

This is an auto-summary of the canon entry. The full derivation lives in the referenced section of the lab's manuscript and working notes; a hand-enriched page may be added here in a later pass.

What would prove this wrong

Kill conditions

Per-problem kill conditions are recorded with each derivation in the ISST manuscript. The site-wide kill conditions (right-hand sidebar) cover the framework-level commitments that, if violated, would invalidate all DISSOLVED and PARTIAL claims simultaneously.